The Corona Guinea Pig Israel – a Case Study

Israel is at the moment the world champion of the vaccination programs in the world. It managed to vaccinate 52.16% of the population (4,634,427), and is currently reaching the (theoretical) part of 59% herd immunity ( 4,634,427 vaccinated people and with 633,991 people who were infected), they have 5,268,418 people immune, and so 59% of the population. That makes this country even more interesting for the rest of the world, because now everyone can see what the effects are of the vaccines and what happens with a country, which reaches the herd immunity of 60%. According the theory, the infection rate, the mortality rate and the serious sick will go down until the pandemic in Israel will be stopped.

(All data used in this article is based on hard facts. You can find he references and download the analysis here).

Is that so?

No. The infections went down a bit. That is very good. But the decrease doesn’t point out the herd immunity, but the end of the peak of the lockdown. Here are some numbers about the lockdowns in Israel and what they have in common:

Lockdowns of Israel	First	Second
Begin	11/03/2020	15/09/2020
End	20/05/2020	30/01/2021
Calculated stability	02/05/2020	24/10/2020
Calculated Increase	14/04/2020	14/10/2020
Duration (days)	70	137
Duration (weeks)	10.0	19.6
Duration (month)	2.3	4.5
Calc. stability factor	52	39
Calc. increase factor	34	29
Third’ lockdown	27/12/2020	30/01/2021
Calculated stability	17/02/2021
Calculated end Incr.	30/01/2021
Duration (days)	34
Duration (weeks)	4.9
Duration (month)	1.1
Calc. stability factor	52
Calculated end Increase	34
Fourth’ lockdown	07/01/2021	30/01/2021
Calculated stability	28/02/2021
Calculated Increase	10/02/2021
Duration (days)	23
Duration (weeks)	3.3
Duration (month)	0.8
Calc. stability factor	52
Calculated end Increase	34

The values (in days) for the [calculated end increase] means how many days it takes before the peak reaches its maximum. The period after that will see a gradual decrease in the number of infections until it reaches 52 days (calculated stability factor), which means that the new infections stay stable. 

As you can see, during the first lockdown, it took 34 days before the peak was reached. This value was reached after 29 days during the second lockdown, 34 days during the third lockdown.

When you look at the Active Cases (currently people sick with the coronavirus) in Israel, you see indeed a slight downward trend in new infections:

The trend of active cases in Israel is still going up slightly, but it is on its way to go down. The curve of the active cases is pulled down very slowly.

This is different for the rest:

Finally

If the world thinks that the problems are going to be over very soon, think again. Even with reaching the herd immunity levels in Israel, even with the hightech vaccines, the corona pandemic is not gone in Israel, and neither it looks like that it will be gone any time.

And there is something very fishy with the hightech vaccines, read it here. In my opinion and the numbers are proving it, the hightech vaccines do not work at all! Or worse, it might be that the reason why so many get seriously sick and die is because of the vaccine. At this moment in time it is all speculation from my side and the part of the so called specialists, the medical scientists and the governments. Time will tell.

Download

You can download the data used in this article here. This is a zip-file (compressed) with an Excel spreadsheet and additional CSV-files. All the data used in this article and the data from the spreadsheet is based on the raw data from the Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University. It is the only acceptable repository of coronavirus infections, recoveries and mortalities in the world, supported by the W.H.O. Additional references are also from ArcGIS Dashboards, Search for a Dataset – Humanitarian Data Exchange and COVID-19 pandemic data – Wikipedia.